Analyzing Investments

Data Collection and Income & Expense Analysis of Apartment Buildings

Here is the first post in many to come on analyzing residential income properties. This is directly from my course on property valuation and analysis which I will be discussing more of in my upcoming class on Buying and Selling  Apartment buildings.

Learning Objectives of this Post on Analyzing Apartment Buildings and Residential Income Properties: Data Collection and Income & Expense Analysis

  1. Identify sources of data
  2. Describe the components of an income & expense sheet
  3. Understand how to arrive at Net Operating Income from Gross Scheduled Income

The first step to accurately determine the market value of a real estate investment is a solid program of data collection and analysis. Each property will have its own unique considerations

All should at least begin with

• Property type
• Overall condition of the improvements
• Type of construction
• Neighborhood analysis
• Overall market conditions
• Income and expense analysis
• Legal requirements, zoning etc
• Comparable property data

This list is broad in scope, but it’s a good foundation for the data collection plan. The data collected from the market on comparable type property will be used to determine the appropriate capitalization (CAP)  rate and make market comparisons in a later step. The next step is the actual collection of the data.

Data Sources

The data required for the analysis is obtained from many of the same sources as the information used in residential sales:

• Owners records
• Multiple listing service (MLS), Costar, Loopnet, Commercial Agents & Property Owners
• Public records
• Census data
• Chamber of Commerce
• Local Housing Authority
• Appraisers
• Trade associations
• Local Council of Governments
• Tax assessment records

This should give you an idea of a few of the possible sources of data and the steps to begin the data collection process. Once the data has been collected the next step is the analysis of the data.

The Operating Report (Profit and Loss Statement)

When analyzing a real estate investment, we begin with an existing operating statement, also known as a profit and loss statement. The operating report will consist of both income and expense items attributable to the property. In the first step of the analysis we will only be concerned with the cash income and expense of the property. We will consider depreciation and other non-cash benefits in a subsequent calculation.

Gross Scheduled Income

The gross scheduled income is the amount of money that the property would produce on an annual basis if it were fully occupied. Included in gross scheduled income would be any income attributable to the property from non rent sources.

What types of sources can be included for determining gross scheduled income?

These sources could include income from laundry and vending machines, parking and storage fees, as well as other owner operated concessions.

When analyzing the gross income, consideration is given not only to the existing rents being charged, called contract or current rent, but also economic or market rent, which is the rent the property would command if it were available for rent in the current market. An adjustment can be made to the gross income if the market indicates that market rent differs from the actual rent. If such an adjustment is made, that should be plainly noted on the operating statement (see loss to lease).


Vacancy & Collection Losses and Effective Gross Income

The chief component in the calculation of effective gross income is the vacancy and collection loss rate. Most properties are not expected to remain fully rented for the entire period of ownership. When a tenant vacates, often there is at least some rental income lost during the turn over period due to repair or remodeling time. In addition to this consideration, one must face the reality that there may be a situation where a tenant becomes unable or unwilling to pay rent as agreed. In this circumstance there will be some rental income lost.

The vacancy and collection loss is usually expressed as a percentage of the gross annual rental income. There are several generally accepted methods for determining the amount of the vacancy and collection loss

• Historical data on the subject property
• Published figures for the community
• Market analysis

Other places to get historical operating data is

None of these things by themselves will probably give you a 100% complete picture but combining different resources the picture will become much clearer.

Historical data and market analysis are perhaps the most accurate, because typically published figures for the community are an average, and may not be representative of the property you are analyzing. Once the appropriate rate has been developed, the loss is subtracted from Gross Scheduled Income to derive at Effective Gross Income.

Example:
Gross Scheduled Income                     $12,000
Vacancy and Collection Loss (5%)      (600)
Effective Gross Income                 $11,400

Gross Operating Income

To figure the gross operating income you go through the following steps:

Gross Scheduled Income
- Vacancy & Credit Loss
= Effective Gross Income
+ All Other Income (garage rent, laundry income, vending, etc)
= Gross Operating Income

The figure derived from this process is what we will call rental income. This is the actual income received after taking into account vacancy and credit loss against potential income.

Other income can come from a variety of sources. In apartments, it is quite often laundry, but it could be rental on furniture for furnished apartments, garages, etc.

The resulting figure of gross operating income is all the income left over after subtracting out the above mentioned items. It is your actual income in hand before expenses. Therefore it is a very important number.

Operating Expenses

The next step in the analysis process is to determine the total operating expenses for the property. Like income, expenses will be analyzed on an annual basis. The investor will do a detailed analysis of the expenses of a given property, so it benefits the practitioner to have done a thorough analysis in the beginning.

It is important to carefully analyze all categories of expenses to accurately portray the financial condition of the property. There are different categories of expenses, depending upon the type of property you will be analyzing, however all expenses are segregated into two basic categories, fixed expenses and variable expenses.

What are three fixed expenses and 10 variable expenses?

Fixed Expenses

A list of typical fixed expense categories will include

• Property taxes
• Insurance
• Landscaping and service contracts
• Any expense that does not change from month to month

What determines a “fixed” expense is the fact that the expense will not vary in response to changing levels of occupancy.

Do not include mortgages as part of operating expenses!Mortgages are not part of operating expenses and are categorized elsewhere.

This group of expenses is not difficult to document for your analysis, but be careful to consider the fact that these expenses may not be the same for a new owner; i.e., the building insurance may go up and most likely the real estate property tax may be reassessed upon transfer.

Real Estate taxes can be one of the largest expenses so make sure to calculate any new tax increase or decrease in your analysis.

Variable Expenses

This category of expenses is much longer, and categories to consider will vary depending on the type and size of the property under analysis. This category will include all of the expenses necessary to maintain the income stream of the property and to provide agreed upon services to the tenant. To attempt a comprehensive list of all expense categories for all types of properties might be impossible and, certainly, is beyond the scope of our study. We will discuss the more common types of expenses in some detail, remembering that each property has unique characteristics and may include its own unique expense categories.

• Off-Site Management

Many properties will be managed completely by off-site personnel. The cost of off-site management is determined and subtracted as an expense of operation. It should be noted that a management expense is a valid deduction from income even if the owner is managing the property. There are many firms specializing in this field; they usually charge between 4% and 10% of the rental amount.

• Payroll On-Site Personnel

Resident management is used when the day to day activities of the property require constant supervision. A resident manager is sometimes given free or reduced rent. If that is the case, you must include the managers unit rent in gross scheduled income, then enter the amount of free rent as an expense. In California, if a property has 16 or more units it is the law to have a resident manager on site.

• Expenses/Benefits

This would be for other management costs. For instance, office and administrative expense, performance bonuses paid to an on-site manager, and any health insurance or retirement plan contributions would be listed here.

• Taxes – Workers’ Compensation

Whenever there is an employee, there are various taxes the employer is responsible for. Among these are: Social security tax, unemployment tax, as well as local, state and federal income taxes. These taxes are payable by the employer, and in addition, the employer is required to withhold some amount from the employee’s pay and forward it to the IRS.

• Repairs and Maintenance

This is the total amount of repairs and maintenance necessary for the year. This would not include any money spent on capital improvements. A capital improvement is any improvement which substantially increases the useful life of the property. If you find a property which has not had any maintenance expense in the recent past, you will probably find a trade off in the overall condition of the property.

• Utilities

This is probably the most difficult portion of the operating statement to complete accurately. This information is most easily obtained from the owner. NOTE: If the owner is paying the utility bills and is then reimbursed by the tenant, the full utility cost will be listed here and the amount reimbursed to the owner would be listed as other income (this is referred to as R.U.B.).

• Accounting and Legal

This is the amount for the bookkeeping required on the property. It will include any amounts paid for payroll reporting or for monthly profit and loss statements. This should also include any legal expenses associated with evictions, drafting of leases, etc.

• Advertising, Licenses and Permits

Many larger properties will have ongoing advertising expenses. At the very least there will be some cost at each vacancy. This includes the amount spent for advertising, as well as any licenses or permit charges; e.g., city business license, pool inspections, and/or housing code inspections.

• Supplies

This might include supplies for the vendors mentioned previously: Bug spray, batteries for smoke detectors etc.

• Miscellaneous

That’s right! There should always be a category for those expenses too insignificant to warrant their own category. This would include any additional expenses which were not accounted for elsewhere in the analysis.

• Contract Services

These are services which are supplied by outside vendors not already accounted for under fixed expense categories. These are additional services such as maintenance contracts, design services, appraisals and as many others as necessary.

Here is a list of the more common expenses in alphabetical order. Some of them we list without explanation because they are rather obvious:

• Accounting and Legal expense
• Advertising
• Gas
• Insurance
• Licenses and permits
• Miscellaneous and other expenses Property Insurance
• (Property) Management
• Payroll and Workers Compensation
• Real Property Taxes
• Repairs and Maintenance
• Services
• Sewer
• Supplies
• Telephone
• Utilities (Such as the electric bill)
• Water

Total Operating Expenses

This is the total of the expenses calculated. This is not to include vacancy or credit losses. Remember that what we are attempting is to give as accurate a picture as possible of the property’s financial condition. The property’s value will be dependent upon the ability to produce income, so it is important to be as accurate as possible in estimating both income and expenses.
The total operating expenses are now subtracted from the effective gross income.

Example:
Effective Gross Income $11,400
Total Operating Expenses (4,500)
Net Operating Income $ 6,900

Net Operating Income (NOI)

The net income that a property is capable of producing will be one of the first indicators of the worth of an investment. Later when we begin to apply the capitalization rate to the property, the NOI will be used to estimate total investment value.

The calculation of the net operating income does not take into consideration the effect of any potential financing of the property. This may seem odd at first, but in consideration, it will not take long to realize that the property should have a value that is completely independent of any financing that an investor might use to acquire that property.

Measure NOI correctly in order to properly value property

NOI is arrived at as follows:

Gross Operating Income
- Operating Expenses
- Capital Expenditures
Net Operating Income

Sales Proceeds

The sales proceeds that come from divesting yourself of a property are as follows:

Sales Price
- Selling Expenses
= Net Sales Proceeds
- Adjusted Basis _
= Taxable Gain
- Depreciation _
= Capital Gain / Loss


Data Analysis


Having discussed the income and expense analysis in detail, we will concentrate on the balance of the data and other considerations. The property will be analyzed for the following:

• Income quantity
• Income quality
• Income durability
• Special risks

All of these considerations will be compared to other investments available in order to determine the appropriate rate of return and measures of value for the property being analyzed.

Test Your Knowledge: Data Collection and Income & Expense Analysis Questions

1. What is the chief component in the calculation of effective gross income?

2. How do you come to Effective Gross Income?

3. Circle the following that are considered an operating expense:

Property taxes Insurance The owner’s income taxes
Mortgage debt service Payroll taxes Utilities
Property maintenance

4. How do you arrive at NOI from Gross Operating Income

5. How do you arrive at the capital gain / loss from the sales price?

How to Buy & Sell Apartments Workshop – Commercial Real Estate 101

Buy & Sell Apartments San Diego Workshop

For Immediate Release: GABHART INVESTMENTS INC. CEO TO TEACH APARTMENT INVESTING WORKSHOP

SAN DIEGO, CA (Dec 4, 2010) — Gabhart Investments Inc. CEO Curtis Gabhart will teach a four-hour interactive workshop named Commercial Real Estate 101 – How to Buy & Sell Apartments on Saturday Dec. 4, 2010 from 10 a.m. to 2 p.m. at the Double Tree Club Hotel in San Diego. The workshop is designed to offer educational insight on how to break into the apartment market, in addition to presenting attendees with the opportunity to gain professional contacts, advanced industry information and the necessary tools to succeed in today’s market.  Pre-registration fees are $49 or $99 at the door.

The workshop will focus on key fundamentals, including:

  • Learn the Right Time to Start Buying Apartments
  • Where to Find Deals Before They Hit the Market
  • How to Analyze Potential Deals Like An Expert
  • Proven Ways to Develop A Winning Presentation to Earn the Confidence of Investor Partners
  • Top Gimmicks & Traps To Stay Away From

“I am very excited to host this workshop with REI Wise. This workshop, accompanied with future workshops, will provide the insights on how to look and think about investing in apartments. In today’s dynamic and uncertain economic times, for investors to try and figure out what time to buy, sell, or hold is the big question right now. The time to look at apartments is now, as this market is seeing on of the strongest recoveries across real estate assets. The investment strategies and inside information acquired from these workshops will provide you, as an investor, the tools needed to succeed in today’s uncertain real estate market.”

Curtis Gabhart has spoken at several engagements ranging from transitioning from residential to commercial, apartment brokerage, condo conversion, raising capital, etc.  Gabhart is a respected commercial real estate investor who specializes in apartment acquisitions and dispositions, ownership and operations.  His expertise lies in the repositioning apartment buildings for maximum performance and value at resale.  In the past, Gabhart was an owner and principal of ACI Apartments Inc., where he was involved in over $250 million transacted & has personally transacted over $40 million in his own deals.  ACI Apartments has repeatedly been recognized as the most successful income property brokerage firm in San Diego. Gabhart currently serves as a board member on the University of San Diego’s Burnham Moore’s Center for Real Estate Commercial Real Estate advisory board and also served as the past President of the San Diego Commercial Realtors Association, was on the 2009 Board of Directors of the CCIM San Diego Chapter.

How to Buy and Sell Apartments flier and sign up.


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Funds expand with new Investment Manager

My name is Nick Walsh and I’ve joined Curtis’ team as an Investment Manager to build momentum in this exciting and lucrative residential real estate market. Curtis and I met this past October at a University of San Diego real estate conference. After talking for a while, it was apparent that we both shared an interest in the single family and multifamily business. We met for coffee recently and realized that there was synergy among our talents and personalities that could help seize opportunities and expand his business.

As Investment Manager, I am responsible for the overall management of fund activities. Curtis has done a great job building a profitable system for flipping houses, and I’m here to help him repeat that same success on a larger scale. I will be instrumental in forming and maintaining investor and lender partnerships as Curtis incorporates independent funds into the capital structure. I will be managing investor capital accounts, including contribution and distribution timing and amounts. As the business increases in volume and complexity, this is vital to ensure that returns are maximized and accurate. I will be preparing investor presentations and disclosures so that the status of every project is transparent and easily accessible for all stakeholders. In addition to my investor relations role, I will also be participating in individual property acquisitions through property selection and management of the escrow process. Once the property is acquired into the fund, I will assist with strategic planning and budgeting for expenses and cash flow. During each project, I will be interfacing with accounting to track actual performance to budget. In each role, I am focused on contributing the best information and ideas so the team can make decisions to maximize profits.  

My professional resume is posted here on our website at www.gabhartinvestments.com/about/key-people/. If you are looking for a more personal touch, here I am in a nut shell. I grew up in Boise, Idaho in a family consumed by the inevitable cycles of the real estate industry. I’ve seen the best and the worst of times (dinner table had either filet mignon or spam sandwiches). I left Idaho for the Central California Coast lifestyle and was educated at Cal Poly in Finance and Accounting along with the amazing social curriculum there. I figured out that I was a “numbers guy” and jumped on the KPMG bandwagon in San Francisco after college. However, I requested to be placed on several real estate clients in an effort to combine my two passions, maximize my talent, and keep my sanity. It didn’t take long for the real estate boom in 2005 to coerce me back to Boise to develop residential subdivisions for the family business. I was bringing big city, big company experience back to dominate the hometown scene. We had a great run, but the market collapsed and my journey back to California began. The Masters in Real Estate program at USD caught my attention and I remembered that San Diego was the place to be if you are into beautiful weather, sandy beaches, and a vibrant nightlife. Now I begin the next chapter, and I look forward to the challenge.

If you have any interest in meeting me, drop me a line and we’ll set something up for coffee, lunch, or happy hour. Take care until then.

Closed on our 4th property in about 45 days with an offer accepted on property on #5

Don’t have a lot of time to post and explain what is happening since I have been so busy so I will post a spreadsheet with the most current properties we have purchased so you can see how we break down our numbers.

You should (in theory) be able to click on the view web page and go the the web page I created for each property. I apologize if they are not all polished up yet and there may be some viewing errors but bear with me. If you like the property websites let me know so I can keep creating them.

I am trying to be as open as possible on how and what I am doing and hope it helps.

If you click on the project name it should take you to a website. Please do me a favor and let me know about any glitches that may not be working.

Where is the best place to buy Apartment buildings?

Ok here is a poll I set up to ask people where you thought the best place to invest in Multi-Family Real Estate including what class, size and a few other simple questions.

I created this using google forms. If you are not using google docs and the other free google products like sites, calendar etc. you should check it out. I created the “project 36″ website in a matter of minutes using google sites and use google enterprise apps for our business.

So with that being said I am embedding the survey so please take it or if it does not let you take it please let me know. (give it a few seconds to load)

Apartment Hunting

You can’t plan opportunities but you need to jump at them when they present themselves.

I got a postcard in the mail from an agent out of the area selling a 50+ unit apartment building for what appeared to be a very attractive price.

As mentioned previously in the Blog I really had not been looking for apartment buildings because the returns generated by many of these buildings in San Diego have been disappointing. When Syndicating partnerships there has to be a great enough return to 1) pay the investors an attractive return 2) get compensated yourself based primarily on the performance of the deal.

So in an a typical multi-family deal here is a simple scenario of where the money is made.

  1. Cash flows from operations
  2. Appreciated value
  3. Loan pay down

Typically in San Diego most of the money has been made on the appreciation side with some cash flow during the operations. Right now the cash flows are better than they have been in quite awhile but when are  we really going to see any appreciation? The exception to this are value added deals where you can come in and reposition the property to create a higher value in the near term.

By doing this your yield will go up substantially and in that situation you could accomplish giving your investors a superior return and if certain performance metrics are accomplished you would get rewarded. These deals are rare at this time.

This is what has led me to flipping the houses which so far have generated on average a return in the triple digits because of the leverage I was able to achieve (Disclaimer – not every deal will make money which will take thereturn down. I have lost money on deals or had to keep properties I planned on selling in the past and am sure Ithese things may happen in the future if I buy enough properties. My goal is to try to achieve an average 15-20% IRR for my investor partners.

The opportunities in San Diego seem to be in the 1-4 unit (this is just my opinion and a lot of people who are a lot smarter than me are making money in other ways). With that being said I don’t seem to be the only person to know this and there is a lot of competition and the prices have substantially went up over the last 6 months. I feel very confident I can keep turning up these deals. The difficulty is doing at a large enough scale.

So back to my original point.. Apartment buildings….

The reason I am buying these houses is so I can keep active in this tumultuous market and generating money waiting for some bigger opportunities to come along in the form of Apartment buildings. These are what I want long term, thousands of units each generating hundreds of net dollars each.

Well for whatever reason someone hasn’t told the apartment market in San Diego there is the Great Recession happening. There is still be a big disconnect between what most buyers are willing to pay and what sellers are willing to sell for. There has yet to be a clearing or a sell off at a price buyers are willing to pay to generate any reasonable sales volume.

The best deals I have seen were in the upper 7 CAP range (in the hood, needed work). Even at an 7 CAP with 6.2% financing running about 40% expenses and a 5% vacancy the actual cash on cash returns is 6.25%. How can I feel right about Syndicating a deal with a 10% return to go around? That’s why I haven’t even attempted to chase San Diego apartment deals.

Well this deal I referred to at the beginning got me thinking very hard about where the future opportunities may lie. Apartments in markets that have been decimated like Phoenix, Las Vegas, the Inland Empire and select other areas. There are many other markets I am sure you could go to I just like that I can get to any of these places within hours (this is really important when doing research and due dilligence since I will have to travel there frequently when buying and researching these markets). I also like the fact that these markets typically have gone through BIG ups and downs. I explain a little more about what we are looking for here.

So with all that being said I found a deal (in neither of these markets but close) that so far has seemed extremely attractive. You may ask what makes it attractive Curtis and how do you know if it is worth pursuing.

The first thing I do is to try to figure out what is wrong with a deal. Why hasn’t someone smarter and better looking than myself snatched it up? Don’t tell anyone but I’m not that smart so if I see a good deal why doesn’t anyone else? I play the green light red light game or as CCIM teaches go/no go analysis. What I am doing is doing strategic research to decide whether I move on to the next step. If something comes up that kills the deal or makes me research that item more it is a RED light, if I am satisfied with my findings it is a GREEN light. I do this until I either hit a RED light that doesn’t let me go further or we buy it.

I run some stress tests on the numbers to see at what point would we lose money and then try to gather and verify data which will lead me to a conclusion on whether to buy or not.

It is kind of like a red light green light game. You keep on playing into you hit a red light. That red light could be information you find out that makes the deal no longer attractive. For example if I run the numbers at a certain rent level and after surveying local owners and property manager I realize those are not achievable one of two things need to happen.

  1. Drop out of the deal
  2. Reduce the price to a level that makes those new rents throw off an acceptable return

Let’s play red light green light with the out of area deal.

I received a postcard from an out of the area agent with a national company that doesn’t have the best reputation (that doesn’t mean the individual agents are bad BTW) who has this listing which is an REO in receivership. I normally would throw this into my circular filing cabinet except a few things caught my attention that caused me to proceed to the next step (gave me the green light to move forward).

  • Price per unit is $15,000
  • Price per square foot is $20 (it would cost about 4 times that to build it)
  • In a city that I go to anyways and have friends who own property there

The first red light was that the property was only at a 8.5% CAP rate which to me is not that attractive in a secondary out of the area market. After doing some research the property is a 8.5% CAP because it has been in receivership and the occupancy has sunk to around 65% (I verified this by calling area owners and the current onsite manager).

So a couple questions I need answered.

  1. What is a reasonable occupancy level I can achieve on this property
  2. When
  3. How much will it cost me to get there? i.e. repairs, making units rent ready, has the previous owner totally neglected it and will it cost me a lot of money to make the units marketable, etc.

First – I talk to the broker and he explains why it’s 65% occupied and that he has underwritten the deal at 85% occupied and $150,000 per year in expenses. Now it’s time for me to research because at these numbers it is a stabilized CAP rate of 12.4% which is now getting much better.

Second – I call local property owners and property management companies to talk to them about the market (google is great for this kind of research)

Here are some questions I ask.

  • How is the market. “Hard hit but things that are priced right rent”
  • What is your vacancy rate? The vacancy rate was less than 10%
  • Is $3,000 per unit reasonable for expenses? “very reasonable”
  • What is the lease up time? “4-6 weeks”
  • Do you think this deal (don’t tell them the address) is a good one? “YES!”

Ok well it’s a green light time to move forward with more research.

Now I start looking at the historical books and records and drilling down deeper into my due diligence. Here is what I found

Bank owned.

· Purchase Price $800,000 (purchased and appraised for $3,150,000 and a loan of $2,250,000 in 2006)

· 2.6 x GRM

· $20.17 per square foot

· $15,300 per unit (next closest deal on the market is a bank owned at $35,000 per unit)

· 2 Properties total.

o 22 & 30 units next to each other. This give more options on the exit.

· A 12.5 Cap at stabilized income.

o Assumptions

§ 15% vacancy.

· This building has had a historic vacancy rate greater than 95%.

o 15% would equate to triple the historic average

o 50% higher than the local property managers and owners I have already surveyed.

· This property has historically enjoyed high occupancy rates. It is located next to a college, a grocery store and residential homes.

· The building currently is at 65% occupancy

§ NOI of $100,825

· This is ½ of the historic NOI

· NOI in 2008 was $195,000

§ Expenses at 50% higher than 2006 numbers.

· IRR is in the high 20’s low 30% range over a 5 year hold based on the assumptions above for NOI . (if the NOI was back to the levels 10 years prior the IRR could be 10% higher than this)

o assumptions

§ financing in the 6.5% – 7% range the IRR is in the high 20% – low 30% range

§ Sale price $1,100,000 which would be about 1/3 of the price paid 10 years earlier.

· In the last 6 years there has been over $400,000 in improvements

o These renovations included air conditioners, new appliances, new roofs, resurface asphalt, carpet, fencing, painted six buildings, landscaping, laundry room, swimming pool, and renovation of 28 units.

o I have been told the property is still in good condition and not to neglected


2004 2006 2010 Assumptions
Price $3,150,000 $800,000
Price Per Unit $60,576 $15,384
Price Per Sq. Foot $79.91 $20.17
Occupancy 100% 65% 85%
NOI $204,647 $66,990 $100,825
Expenses $98,290 / 29% $137,541 $152,624 (54%)
Effective Gross Income $336,612 $204,531 $253,449
Improvements $414,582
CAP Rate 6.5% 8.37% 12.4% Stabilized
GRM 9.36 2.84

[1] Information gathered from April 2006 Appraisal. Crown Appraisal Group collected historical property data.

[2] Interviewed 2 property managers and 1 owner totaling over 400 units. Effective vacancy is less than 10%

[3] Owners and managers say NOI is down 25% from 2006 levels.

[4] Information given to the appraisers from the sellers in 2006. Sellers renovated property in 2004

Deal Points

· Needs to be an all cash purchase

· Short due diligence – 14 days

· Quick close 21 – 30

· Stabilize 6-12 months and refinance out 65% or as much as possible at market rate interest

· Sell and exchange in 3-5 years

· Preferred return to you and equity split TBD

Here is why I like this.

$15,000 per unit & $20 per square foot. This is trading at a third of replacement cost and about 1/3 of the previous sale in 2006. In addition it is about 1/2 the cost of any other property on the market in Havasue.

Plan

  • 15,000 Per unit 2006 sold for $60,125
  • $20.12 per sq. ft and in good condition
    • insurance underwriting it at $115 a foot.
  • 35% vacancy because of being in foreclosure.
    • Underwriting at 15% once stabilized
    • As I have been doing due diligence talking to other property owners and property managers so far the 8-10% has been recommended.
    • Rents are in line with market
  • 4-6 week lease up period
  • 2 Seperate buildings which will allow us to sell them individually. Having 2 smaller buildings will open up the possible pool of buyers which could increase the overall aggregate value.
  • Using about $3,000 per unit for expenses which equates to about 50% of the Gross Scheduled Income. Considering the property tax only consist of about $160 of those expenses the rest will go to all the other expenses. This has been agreed on by property owners/mangers a very conservative number.

Will need to probably be an all cash purchase or bridge loan until the place is stabilized.

Exit strategy is to stabilize and get debt on it and pull out 65-75% of the cash invested while getting long term financing in the 7% range and sell it when we hit a our target IRR which I am still contemplating what that will be.

Sell it as

The IRR will be based on some reasonable sales price assumptions. Once the target is achieved we will sell (or whatever investors want to cash out they can) and exchange into other opportunities taking advantage of the tax deferral of a 1031 in addition to capital gains tax and depreciation along the way.

The lowest price active comparable is at least double the price per unit than this property
After purchase buy some more bank owned properties at the same price per unit. We will now be the new comp and can justify the lower price. This will drive down some other prices allowing us the opportunity to buy more.

So this was written about a month ago and I have to be careful about putting up to much information when I’m working on a deal. We put in an all cash offer at $810,000 hoping that everyone would try to low ball the deal with a 2 week due diligence and a close of escrow 2 weeks later. Well after a week of waiting the bank took another lower offer that only had a 5 day due diligence. In this situation we couldn’t of matched that and that is the way the cookie crumbles.
I probably spent about 60 hours doing research running scenarios hiring property mangers to walk the property and tell me what they can rent it for. The reason I tell you this is this business is about 95% of the time chasing deals and being prepared for that 5% of opportunity. I knew our shot was small and we got in the game late but I decided that the potential was worth spending the time on this and that we had a shot.
So in summary it’s important to be able to quickly understand a market and know how to research a property and an area. There are many ways to do this and you need to be very good with your time management and prioritize your activities. Playing the red light green light allows you to focus on one activity that is important without moving on to another activity that really won’t matter if the previous activity isn’t satisfied.
If you are reading this and are in the Phoenix, Vegas, Inland Empire, Or San Diego market and you have any deals please let us know.

CAP Rates (Capitalization Rate)

Capitalization Rate

Like all other significant income property valuation methods the CAP rate involves various calculations of the property’s current / potential income in a market comparison type of approach, in the capitalization rate method too, the primary indicator of the property’s value is also the income that the property is/would generate. Succinctly explained, the capitalization rate is the annual rate at which the property’s value is capitalized (paid off) by the year’s net operating income. It is therefore similar to the gross rent multiplier, but more accurate as the gross rent multiplier does not consider vacancy losses or operating expenses, but the capitalization rate does. However it is simplified in the sense that it assumes the principal, or property value, remains unchanged for an indefinite period of time & is a single snapshot in time. On another blog at a later time we will go into things like Internal Rates of Return (IRR) which will help forecast future values.

The capitalization rate partly varies based on the interest rates being charged in the economy and the general health of the real estate market. The capitalization rate used by valuation experts such as appraisers, banks, etc. historically has varied between as low as 4% and  as high as 13% in inflationary times.

If interest rates are low then institutional investors do not have a lot of investment choices that provide them high returns. However if the investment is in a property which is in an area where there seems to be an instability for real estate prices then a higher cap rate will be sought in order to compensate for the higher risk involved.

This basic formula, which is largely used as an index number to property investment buyers, covers the entire investment process.

Formula : Cap Rate = Net Operating Income Ă· Property Value

Capitalization of Net Income

This approach to value computes the value of an investment by comparing the net income from the property to the rate of return necessary to attract an investor to the investment.

Example :

Find the value of a property considering that the cap rate is 7% and the net operating income is $40,000

Value = $40,000 Ă· 7% = $571,428.57

The IRV Formula

This useful formula can be used for three different types of calculations. Whether you are looking find the property value, establish the cap rate or estimate the net operating income. As long as you have two components of the formula you will always be able to calculate the missing component.

We can use the following diagram to help us remember and apply the various techniques. As long as you have 2 out of the 3 pieces you can come up with your answer, and use the indication from the diagram to use the other components for calculating your desired outcome.

If for example we know the Net Operating Income (NOI) is $100,000 and we want a 10 CAP you would take the top of the pyramid (I) and divide it by the R (CAP)

I (NOI) is $100,000

R (CAP) is 10%

V (Value) is $1,000,000

Lets take another scenario where we are told a building is selling for $1,000,000 and at a 8 CAP here is how we would quickly see how much income is being generated.

We would multiply the R (CAP) by the V (Value) to come up with I (NOI)

R = 10%

V = $1,000,000

R multiplied by V = $80,000 NOI

Last one

We know the (V)alue someone is asking for a property, we know NO(I) the property is generating we now can figure out what is the CAP (R)ate

(V)alue = $1,000,000

NO(I) = $80,000

(I) / (V) = CAP (R)ate of 10%

Here are some different scenarios to see how all these variables work together. Remember as long as you have 2 of the three answered (I,R, or V) you can come up with the third which is missing.